OK I’m not normally a writer of long, controversial text posts… you know me… reblogger of pretty pics/gifs, fanfic enthusiast etc etc…
However, I’ve been thinking about this sighting of Damian Lewis for the filming of S4 and I am hugely amused & entertained by the ongoing furore of “Does this mean Brody’s back?” and “Yay Brody survived the hanging & is coming back!” and “WTF? Are the writers stupid pandering to the opinions of certain fans by having Brody in S4 in any capacity whatsoever?” (eg, flashback, dream sequence etc).
So I’ve decided to try and analyse it objectively…
The man who had the power to let Brody live or die in S3 E12 was Javadi.
Why would Javadi want Brody dead?
OK, we know this from S3 already - it strengthened Javadi’s position and paved the way for him to be Danesh Akbari’s successor as Head of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard. To the public Javadi would be the hero who had captured & executed Akbari’s assassin (Brody). To the CIA, Javadi would increase his position of influence as a CIA asset inside the Iranian Government.
Why would Javadi want to keep Brody alive?
Recall that Javadi was known as “The Magician” in S3 (because he can make people disappear). A living Brody would be the ultimate bargaining chip for Javadi on many levels - he could interrogate him, “turn” him against the US. Javadi might be the new Head of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, but he is impotent because he is the CIA’s puppet - because Saul could reveal at any time that Javadi embezzled forty five million dollars from the Iranian Government using Del Paraiso Football Club in Caracas to front his money laundering operations.
A secretly living Brody would dramatically increase Javadi’s personal influence with the CIA. If Javadi possesses Brody’s life then he can use this to blackmail Saul (or Carrie) for anything he wants… money, power or glory.
Remember Javadi is a cold-hearted killer and ruthless. Would he really obediently execute Brody in order to further the CIA’s influence in Iran? Or would he take the chance of faking Brody’s death to deceive everyone and especially ‘get one over’ on Saul?
I don’t know the answers, but I do know that we saw Brody huffing & puffing on a rope, but we never saw a corpse, so anything is possible…
Disclaimer: My reasoning is probably flawed and I am being deliberately provocative.